Week 4 NFL betting nuggets to know for every game
This week, the trends point to a bounce-back performance by the Patriots and yet another loss by a quarterback taken first overall in his starting debut.
Here are the rest of the trends that should help you in betting the NFL this weekend.
All lines are courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-6.5, 48.5) — 1 p.m. ET
The Patriots are 6-1 ATS and 7-0 SU in their past seven games following consecutive losses.
Tom Brady is 11-4 ATS and 14-1 SU in 15 career home games against the Dolphins.
The home team is 11-1 ATS in the past 12 meetings between these division rivals. This includes a 6-0 ATS record by the Patriots at home during this span.
Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (PK, 47) — 1 p.m. ET
Andrew Luck is 23-6 ATS and 24-5 SU in games following a loss in his career, including an upset win at Washington in Week 2 this season.
The Colts are 8-2-1 ATS in the past 11 meetings between these division rivals.
The Texans are 0-8 ATS in their past eight games.
Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons (-4, 53.5) — 1 p.m. ET
The over is 14-6 in the Falcons’ past 20 home games, including 2-0 this season.
The over is 4-0 in the Bengals’ past four games. Those games have gone over by an average of 12.4 PPG during this span.
Buffalo Bills at Green Bay Packers (-9.5, 44.5) — 1 p.m. ET
The over is 25-7 in the Packers’ past 32 games, including 3-0 this season.
Aaron Rodgers is 27-12-2 ATS in his past 41 home starts.
Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys (-3, 44) — 1 p.m. ET
The under is 11-1 in the Cowboys’ past 12 games.
The Cowboys are 6-1-1 ATS in their past eight games as a favorite.
New York Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars (-7.5, 38.5) — 1 p.m. ET
The Jaguars were 4-1 ATS in games following a loss last season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears (-3, 46.5) — 1 p.m. ET
Since the start of last season, the Bears are 6-2-1 ATS in their nine home games. This includes a 24-17 win as five-point favorites in Week 2 against the Seahawks this season.
The under is 7-1-1 in the Bears’ past nine games.
Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5, 41) at Tennessee Titans — 1 p.m. ET
The Titans are 10-2-1 ATS and 11-2 SU in their past 13 home games. This includes a 3-0 ATS record with two outright wins as a home underdog during this span.
The Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their past four games as a favorite (4-1 ATS as an underdog during this span).
Seattle Seahawks (-3, 39) at Arizona Cardinals — 4:05 p.m. ET
The road team is 8-1-1 ATS in the past 10 meetings between these division rivals. This includes a 4-0-1 ATS record by the Seahawks in Arizona during this span.
The under is 17-5 in the Cardinals’ past 22 home games.
Cleveland Browns at Oakland Raiders (-2.5, 44) — 4:05 p.m. ET
Baker Mayfield will make his first career start for the Browns. The past 10 quarterbacks picked No. 1 overall are 0-10 ATS and 0-10 SU in their starting debut.
New Orleans Saints (-3.5, 50.5) at New York Giants — 4:25 p.m. ET
The Saints are 15-5 ATS in their past 20 road games.
The under is 10-3 in the Giants’ past 13 home games.
San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Chargers (-10, 46) — 4:25 p.m. ET
The Chargers are 4-13 ATS with nine outright losses in their past 17 games as a home favorite of more than a field goal.
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3, 50.5) — 8:20 p.m. ET
The Ravens are 8-1 ATS with five outright wins in their past nine games as an underdog against a division opponent.
The Ravens are 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings between these division rivals. This includes a 4-0 ATS record in Pittsburgh during this span.
This will mark the highest over/under in the history of this rivalry (Sunday will be the 49th meeting). The over is 15-5 in the past 20 games played between these teams in Pittsburgh.
Kansas City Chiefs (-5, 55) at Denver Broncos — 8:15 p.m. ET (Monday)
Patrick Mahomes is 4-0 ATS and 4-0 SU in his four career starts. The over has not only hit in all four of his starts but has gone over by an average of 17.1 PPG.
The Chiefs are 11-1 ATS in their past 12 games against division opponents.
The over is 6-0 in the past six meetings between these division rivals.