NBA betting: Four picks for Monday
Considering this and other storylines of interest, here are my best bets from today’s slate.
Toronto Raptors -7.0 vs. Portland Trail Blazers. The Raptors opened the season with three straight games against teams that played in the postseason (at least the play-in game) last season, and all three games were close, decided by single-digits with the Raptors winning one. Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers are winless in their first three games, with their two losses to postseason teams by a combined 40 points. The Trail Blazers are on the second half of a road back-to-back, and the Raptors are the better team, rested and should take advantage of home court advantage against an inexperienced opponent to win comfortably.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 28.5 points. Gilgeous-Alexander had a rare off-shooting game on Sunday, going 2-for-16 from the field for seven points against the Nuggets. Last season, Gilgeous-Alexander only had three games where he scored under 20 points, and in the subsequent games he scored 33, 30 and 33 points to get right back to his typical high-scoring ways. He should be in for a big bounce-back performance on Monday against a Pistons defense that is tied for 21st in points allowed and 20th in field goal percentage allowed to opposing shooting guards.
New Orleans Pelicans -3.0 over Golden State Warriors. The Pelicans have a major size advantage against the Warriors with Zion Williamson and Jonas Valanciunas in the paint and even 6-foot-9 Brandon Ingram at shooting guard. For the Warriors to win the matchup, then, they typically need their perimeter players to dominate. But the Warriors are an older team on the second half of a back-to-back after a surprisingly hard-fought game against the Rockets on Sunday, so the Pelicans’ size advantage has greater potential to wear them down.
Denver Nuggets -7.5 over Utah Jazz. The Nuggets are not playing around this season. They are 3-0, fresh off a 33-point demolition of the previously undefeated Thunder on Sunday afternoon. The Jazz, on the other hand, are 1-2 but both losses came to teams from the postseason last season by a total of 38 points. Playing at home, even on the second half of a back-to-back, the Nuggets should be able to take care of business against the Jazz.
Basketball Power Index by ESPN Analytics
Brooklyn Nets at Charlotte Hornets
7 p.m. ET, Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC
Records (Against the Spread)
Nets: 0-2 (2-0-0)
Hornets: 1-1 (1-1-0)
Line: Nets (-1)
Money Line: Nets (-110), Hornets (-110)
Total: 228.5 points
BPI Projection: Brooklyn Nets (57.4%)
Injury Report:
Nets: Cameron Johnson, (OUT – Calf); Nic Claxton, (OUT – Ankle)
Hornets: Cody Martin, (OUT – Knee); James Bouknight, (OUT – Knee); Miles Bridges, (OUT – Suspension); Frank Ntilikina, (OUT – Lower Leg)
Note: BPI numbers factor players who are ruled out but assumes GTD players will play
Chicago Bulls at Indiana Pacers
7 p.m. ET, Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis
Records (Against the Spread)
Bulls: 1-2 (0-3-0)
Pacers: 2-0 (2-0-0)
Line: Pacers (-3)
Money Line: Bulls (130), Pacers (-155)
Total: 230 points
BPI Projection: Indiana Pacers (65.6%)
Injury Report:
Bulls: Lonzo Ball, (OUT – Knee); Zach LaVine, (GTD – Back)
Pacers: None reported
Note: BPI numbers factor players who are ruled out but assumes GTD players will play
Boston Celtics at Washington Wizards
7 p.m. ET, Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.
Records (Against the Spread)
Celtics: 2-0 (0-1-1)
Wizards: 1-1 (1-1-0)
Line: Celtics (-10)
Money Line: Celtics (-480), Wizards (360)
Total: 229 points
BPI Projection: Boston Celtics (74.6%)
Injury Report:
Celtics: None reported
Wizards: Daniel Gafford, (GTD – Ankle); Landry Shamet, (OUT – Toe)
Note: BPI numbers factor players who are ruled out but assumes GTD players will play
Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks
7:30 p.m. ET, State Farm Arena, Atlanta
Records (Against the Spread)
Timberwolves: 1-1 (1-1-0)
Hawks: 1-2 (1-2-0)
Line: Timberwolves (-2)
Money Line: Timberwolves (-130), Hawks (+110)
Total: 230.5 points
BPI Projection: Atlanta Hawks (53.3%)
Injury Report:
Timberwolves: Jaylen Clark, (OUT – Achilles); Jaden McDaniels, (GTD – Calf)
Hawks: Wesley Matthews, (OUT – Calf)
Note: BPI numbers factor players who are ruled out but assumes GTD players will play
Portland Trail Blazers at Toronto Raptors
7:30 p.m. ET, Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Records (Against the Spread)
Blazers: 0-3 (0-3-0)
Raptors: 1-2 (2-1-0)
Line: Raptors (-8.5)
Money Line: Blazers (278), Raptors (-355)
Total: 217 points
BPI Projection: Toronto Raptors (76.0%)
Injury Report:
Blazers: Ish Wainright, (GTD – Calf); Anfernee Simons, (OUT – Thumb)
Raptors: O.G. Anunoby, (GTD – Leg); Precious Achiuwa, (GTD – Groin); Christian Koloko, (OUT – Illness)
Note: BPI numbers factor players who are ruled out but assumes GTD players will play
Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies
8 p.m. ET, FedExForum, Memphis
Records (Against the Spread)
Mavericks: 2-0 (1-1-0)
Grizzlies: 0-3 (1-2-0)
Line: Mavericks (-2.5)
Money Line: Mavericks (-140), Grizzlies (118)
Total: 228.5
BPI Projection: Dallas Mavericks (55.9%)
Injury Report:
Mavericks: None reported
Grizzlies: Brandon Clarke, (OUT – Achilles); Steven Adams, (OUT – Knee); Luke Kennard, (OUT – Concussion); Santi Aldama, (OUT – Ankle); Ja Morant, (OUT – Suspension)
Note: BPI numbers factor players who are ruled out but assumes GTD players will play
Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks
8 p.m. ET, Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee
Records (Against the Spread)
Heat: 1-2 (1-2-0)
Bucks: 1-1 (0-2-0)
Line: Bucks (-5)
Money Line: Heat (175), Bucks (-210)
Total: 223.5 points
BPI Projection: Milwaukee Bucks (60.6%)
Injury Report:
Heat: Caleb Martin, (GTD – Knee); Josh Richardson, (GTD – Foot); Kevin Love, (GTD – Shoulder); Haywood Highsmith, (OUT – Knee)
Bucks: Khris Middleton, (GTD – Knee)
Note: BPI numbers factor players who are ruled out but assumes GTD players will play
Golden State Warriors at New Orleans Pelicans
8 p.m. ET, Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Records (Against the Spread)
Warriors: 2-1 (2-1-0)
Pelicans: 2-0 (2-0-0)
Line: Pelicans (-4.5)
Money Line: Warriors (152), Pelicans (-180)
Total: 226 points
BPI Projection: New Orleans Pelicans (51.6%)
Injury Report:
Warriors: None reported
Pelicans: Naji Marshall, (OUT – Knee); Jose Alvarado, (OUT – Ankle); Trey Murphy III, (OUT – Knee)
Note: BPI numbers factor players who are ruled out but assumes GTD players will play
Detroit Pistons at Oklahoma City Thunder
8 p.m. ET, Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Records (Against the Spread)
Pistons: 2-1 (3-0-0)
Thunder: 2-1 (2-1-0)
Line: Thunder (-6)
Money Line: Pistons (185), Thunder (-225)
Total: 225 points
BPI Projection: Oklahoma City Thunder (65.0%)
Injury Report:
Pistons: James Wiseman, (GTD – Undisclosed); Monte Morris, (OUT – Quadriceps); Isaiah Livers, (OUT – Ankle); Bojan Bogdanovic, (OUT – Calf)
Thunder: Kenrich Williams, (GTD – Back); Jaylin Williams, (OUT – Hamstring)
Note: BPI numbers factor players who are ruled out but assumes GTD players will play
Utah Jazz at Denver Nuggets
9 p.m. ET, Ball Arena, Denver
Records (Against the Spread)
Jazz: 1-2 (1-2-0)
Nuggets: 3-0 (2-1-0)
Line: Nuggets (-8)
Money Line: Jazz (270), Nuggets (-345)
Total: 227.5 points
BPI Projection: Denver Nuggets (69.5%)
Injury Report:
Jazz: Ochai Agbaji, (GTD – Knee)
Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar, (OUT – Knee); Jay Huff, (GTD – Ribs)
Note: BPI numbers factor players who are ruled out but assumes GTD players will play
Orlando Magic at Los Angeles Lakers
10:30 p.m. ET, Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Records (Against the Spread)
Magic: 2-0 (2-0-0)
Lakers: 1-2 (0-3-0)
Line: Lakers (-2)
Money Line: Magic (110), Lakers (-130)
Total: 218.5 points
BPI Projection: Los Angeles Lakers (59.9%)
Injury Report:
Magic: None reported
Lakers: Jalen Hood-Schifino, (OUT – Knee); Jarred Vanderbilt, (OUT – Heel)
Note: BPI numbers factor players who are ruled out but assumes GTD players will play