Fantasy basketball streamers and NBA betting cheat sheet for Tuesday
Jump ahead: Game of the night | Picks and props | Analytics edge
By Jim McCormick and Kyle Soppe
Magic Man: Jalen Suggs will miss his fourth straight game with an ankle injury and while Cole Anthony ($6,300 on DraftKings) has yet to truly take advantage of the rookie’s absence, there are some trends to like. In the past three games, Orlando’s pace is up 2.6% from the month prior and the per minute usage for Anthony has been appealing (per 36 minutes: 13.8 shots, 6.3 free throws and 8.8 assists). The Warriors allow 35% of points to be scored via the 3, one of the 10 highest rates in the NBA, so if you’re looking for a cheaper DFS play, rostering Anthony in a spot where the backcourt may have to do the heavy lifting makes sense.
Get Gallo: The Hawks likely won’t have John Collins posters”>John Collins in the lineup for the rest of the regular season due to injury. Bogdan Bogdanovic is listed as questionable to compete in tonight’s matchup with the Knicks in Madison Square Garden. With Collins out and Bogdanovic ailing, Danilo Gallinari (95% available) enters this meeting with his former team with some real momentum; he’s played 71 minutes and scored 38 total points across his last two games.
Poole Party: Jordan Poole (18% available) will be tasked with additional playmaking and scoring duties with Stephen Curry out. The third-year guard has responded by averaging 28.5 points during the last two games since Curry’s injury. With the Magic missing Suggs, likely their point-of-attack defender, Poole is positioned to excel against an Orlando team that has allowed nearly 50 DraftKings points per game to point guards.
High on Hyland: Prior to a recent blowout loss to Boston, Denver’s Bones Hyland (91% available) had averaged 30.1 minutes, 18.3 points, 4.7 assists, and three 3-pointers over his past three games. He is likely to flirt with 30 minutes again for tonight’s home tilt against a Clippers team down several key wing defenders. Hyland is a solid streaming and DFS target during a light four-game slate.
Line: Nuggets (-6.5)
Moneyline: Nuggets (-260), Clippers (+210)
Total: 223.0 points
BPI Projected Total: 212 points
BPI Win%: Nuggets (78.7%)
Key players ruled out: none
Notable: Unders are 9-3 in Denver’s past 12 games and they are riding a four-game winless streak ATS
Fantasy streamer: Aaron Gordon. In the last two games, Gordon averaged 16.5 PPG, 6.0 RPG, and 2.5 APG. Nikola Jokic is the only player with a higher PPG average in this time frame. Gordon is available in 50% of ESPN leagues. In 10 games so far in March, he’s averaged 13.2 PPG, 4.7 RPG and 2.1 APG in 29.3 MPG. — Eric Moody
Best bet: Under 223 points. The notable points out Denver’s recent history with going under, but the Clippers and their opponents have also combined to average only 214.4 PPG in their last eight games while going under 223 points six times. The BPI projection is a full 11 points under the 223 point line. — André Snellings
Line: Warriors (-8)
Moneyline: Warriors (-360), Magic (+285)
Total: 216.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 218 points
BPI Win%: Warriors (61.6%)
Key players ruled out: Stephen Curry
Questionable: Moses Moody (shoulder)
Notable: We’ve seen the under hit in five of the past six Warrior games, a run that comes right after over tickets cashed in nine of 10 Golden State games.
Fantasy Streamer: R.J. Hampton. Hampton (99.5% available) has another spot start with Suggs . He’s averaged 7.3 PPG, 3.0 RPG, and 2.7 APG over the past three games as well as 14 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per 40 minutes.
Line: Hawks (-1.5)
Moneyline: Hawks (-125), Knicks (+105)
Total: 226 points
BPI Projected Total: 218.5 points
BPI Win%: Knicks (54.1%)
Key players ruled out: Julius Randle, John Collins, Lou Williams, Bogdan Bogdanovic
Notable: The Hawks are just 1-8 ATS over their past nine, with under tickets coming through in six of those contests.
Fantasy Streamer: De’Andre Hunter. Hunter is still available in 83% of ESPN leagues, which I find shocking. In his last four games, he has averaged 16.5 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 1.5 APG, 1.3 SPG, and 1.0 BPG. Hunter will see heavy usage with John Collins posters”>John Collins out. — Moody
Best bet: RJ Barrett over 26.5 points; Knicks (+1.5). This is a revenge game for the Knicks, if you recall Trae Young taunting Knicks fans at MSG last postseason. The Knicks would love to keep the Hawks in the 10th seed the East. New York has won five of their last eight and are playing without any pressure the remainder of the season. They have the 12th best defense, and average 113 PPG when facing a bad defense — which Atlanta has (4th worst in the NBA). The Hawks are dealing with injuries as Collins and Lou Williams are out, and Young is banged up. With Julius Randle out, RJ Barrett will carry a huge load. He has averaged 24 PPG this season, but will get a lot more shooting opportunities with Randle out. Obi Toppin will get solid minutes tonight as well. — Anita Marks
Line: Bucks (-6)
Moneyline: Bucks (-250), Bulls (+205)
Total: 231.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 231 points
BPI Win%: Bucks (74.8%)
Key players ruled out: Khris Middleton
Notable: Nine of the past 12 Buck games in Milwaukee have gone over the total.
Streamer: Grayson Allen (92.3% available) should be one of the main perimeter scoring options for the Bucks tonight with Middleton out. In the 11 games this season that Allen has played without Middleton, he has averaged 17.5 PPG, 4.3 3PG, 3.6 RPG and 1.0 SPG.
Best bet: Zach LaVine over 23.5 points. LaVine has scored 24 or more points in six of his last seven games, with the lone exception in a 27-point blowout loss in Phoenix. He’s on the second night of a back-to-back, and for a while he wasn’t playing both halves of B2Bs due to his knee issues, but he did play in the Bulls’ last B2B set earlier this month, which coincidentally saw them facing the Bucks, and LaVine dropped 30 points in 38 minutes.
1. Milwaukee Bucks (119.1 points)
2. Golden State Warriors (110.8 points)
3. Denver Nuggets (110.2 points)
1. Los Angeles Clippers (101.8 points)
2. Orlando Magic (107.5 points)
3. Atlanta Hawks (108.7 points)
1. Denver Nuggets (78.7%)
2. Milwaukee Bucks (74.8%)
3. Golden State Warriors (61.6%)