Fantasy baseball pitcher rankings, lineup advice for Tuesday’s MLB games
Note: This file will be updated with any overnight pitching changes or weather-related game postponements, along with the addition of the latest MLB game odds as of the indicated time of publication.
By Derek Carty
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Tuesday brings us several good pitchers to consider streaming, although a few are only a available in a quarter of leagues or so. Taijuan Walker (78%), Sean Manaea (77%), and Jon Gray (61%) are all worth mentioning in case they are available in your league, though, considering they comprise three of the day’s top five pitchers overall.
Dipping down below the 50% mark, Jose Quintana (46%) would be our top choice. He goes into a strong pitcher’s park in Pittsburgh to face one of the league’s weakest offenses.
If you need someone who is almost sure to be available, check out Michael Lorenzen (10%). He goes into Oakland, where he’ll face one of baseball’s worst offenses in an elite pitchers’ park with the day’s best pitching weather.
The Yankees, Rangers, Tigers, and Mariners all play a double-header today. Yankees and Mariners project best, but finding anyone from these games who is likely to play both halves of the double-header makes for a great streaming opportunity. Since Aaron Judge is probably already rostered in your league, check out Josh Donaldson (64%) and Harrison Bader (25%) from the Yankees. The Mariners offer Mitch Haniger (71%), Jesse Winker (71%), J.P. Crawford (66%), Eugenio Suarez (62%), and Jarred Kelenic (30%). From the Tigers and Rangers, consider Javier Baez (69%), Josh Jung (6%), Riley Greene (13%), Leody Taveras (5%), Spencer Torkelson (42%), and Akil Baddoo (8%).
If you’re trying to scrouge up one or two more steals before the season is through, the Yankees also offer help in this regard. Jon Gray is easy to steal on, so even if you don’t manage to get two games out of your streamers, you’ll still stand a good shot of getting a swipe if your pickup happens to play in that game. Harrison Bader (25%), Oswald Peraza(1%), and Isiah Kiner-Falefa (15%) would stand the best chance, if in the lineup.
Pitchers are ranked in order of their Forecaster/Daily Notes projected fantasy points, using ESPN’s standard scoring system (5 points per win, minus-5 per loss, 3 per inning, 1 per K, minus-1 apiece per hit or walk allowed, minus-2 per earned run allowed).
T: The pitcher’s handedness. OPP: Opposing team. ML: Caesars Money Line. O/U: Caesars Over/Under for runs scored. W%: Starting pitcher’s win probability. For the projected stat line, IP is innings pitched, ER is earned runs allowed, BR is baserunners allowed and K is strikeouts.
If a team is planning on using an “opener” to start their game, but will rely on a “bulk pitcher” to follow him on the mound after 1-2 innings, we will list the bulk pitcher and indicate with an asterisk.
Best and worst hitters from the day are generated by THE BAT X, a projection system created by Derek Carty using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing, and lots more.
Cal Raleigh (SEA, C — 12%) vs. Jose Cisnero
Jonah Heim (TEX, C — 41%) vs. Jameson Taillon
Lars Nootbaar (STL, RF — 13%) at Bryse Wilson
Dylan Moore (SEA, 2B — 2%) vs. Eduardo Rodriguez
Adam-Frazier/” title=”Adam Frazier posters”>Adam Frazier (SEA, 2B — 37%) vs. Rodriguez
Oswaldo Cabrera (NYY, 2B — 24%) at Jon Gray
Mike Yastrzemski (SF, RF — 53%) at Sean Manaea
Joc Pederson (SF, CF — 57%) at Manaea
Alec Bohm (PHI, 3B — 55%) at Justin Verlander
Nelson Cruz (WSH, DH — 54%) at Taijuan Walker
Mark Canha (NYM, LF — 69%) vs. Josiah Gray
Joey Meneses (WSH, 1B — 51%) at Walker
Josh Rojas (ARI, SS — 58%) at Eric Lauer
Thairo Estrada (SF, SS — 60%) at Manaea
Kolten Wong (MIL, 2B — 67%) vs. Zac Gallen